Risk Scoring
Score students, donors, clients, or records on their likelihood of a target outcome - retention, lapse, withdrawal, completion, or giving. Scores update as new data arrives so your team is always working from the current picture.
Prismio Cortex · Available Now
From clean data to early signals.
Cortex adds a predictive intelligence layer on top of clean Nexus data. It surfaces risk indicators, generates outcome scores, and identifies which records or cohorts need attention - before patterns become problems your team finds out about too late.
What Cortex does
Early Alert Signals
Identify leading indicators of disengagement, withdrawal, or churn from behavioral, academic, and engagement patterns - before they surface in traditional end-of-term reports. Surface signals when intervention is still possible.
Cohort Pattern Detection
Surface differences in outcome trajectories across programs, cohorts, demographics, or advisor caseloads. Understand which subpopulations are diverging from baseline and why - not just that they are.
Outcome Probability Estimates
Estimate the likelihood of reaching a goal - graduation, giving, program completion, or re-enrollment - with confidence intervals by subgroup. Give leadership numbers that hold up to scrutiny.
Caseload Prioritization
Rank student or constituent records by predicted risk so advisors, development officers, and support staff focus time where it will have the most impact. Reduce the caseload management work that's currently done by instinct.
Model Transparency
Understand which factors drive each score so your team can act with confidence and explain results to stakeholders. Cortex doesn't produce black-box outputs - it tells you what it saw and why it matters.
How Cortex works
1
Start with clean data
- Nexus-enriched records
- Historical outcome data
- Engagement and behavioral signals
- System exports and cohort files
2
Cortex models the patterns
- Train on historical outcomes
- Detect risk and engagement patterns
- Generate scores per record
- Surface factor-level explanations
3
Surface signals that matter
- Ranked risk lists by caseload
- Early alert flags per record
- Cohort divergence summaries
- Outcome probability ranges
4
Act with confidence
- Prioritized outreach lists
- Board and leadership inputs
- Intervention tracking
- Retention and completion forecasts
Prediction that fits the mission
Cortex is built for teams that need to make early decisions with incomplete information - student success offices managing retention risk, career services tracking outcome gaps, and nonprofits forecasting giving before campaigns launch.